"The affirmations reflect our view that strong ongoing government support has somewhat sheltered the financial performance of NBU, Halk Bank, and Uzpromstroybank during the global economic slowdown, and has helped them maintain adequate capitalization and balance-sheet liquidity," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Sergey Voronenko.
Because of its direct, visible control of the banks, Standard & Poor's believes the Uzbek government would provide timely and sufficient support to the banks if necessary.
All three banks have significant domestic franchises and operate to a large degree as agents of government policy in serving particular sectors of the economy. “Taking into account these factors and due to our view of Uzbekistan's creditworthiness, we factor our support expectations into the ratings of the three banks without additional notches above their stand-alone credit profiles”, Standard & Poor's said.
In accordance with our criteria for GREs, Standard & Poor's assesses the likelihood of extraordinary government support to both NBU and Halk Bank as "extremely high", based on:
Ratings upside potential for the banks is limited, but their stand-alone credit profiles could benefit from diversification of the loan profile and funding structure, while maintaining acceptable asset quality metrics and adequate capitalization and liquidity.